| 13 |
Application of multiplex dPCR for fecal source tracking in an Allegan County inland lake
Fecal contamination in recreational waters represents a possible public health threat to humans using these impacted resources for swimming, fishing, boating, and the like. Identifying the source of contamination can help, first, to stratify the degree of risk, and second, to aid in mitigating the effects of the pollution or preventing it from initially entering the water. Microbial source tracking (MST) is employed to quantify the dominant sources of fecal contamination. We report on the outcomes of a two year MST study of Dumont Lake, a small lake in west Michigan utilized by residents and visitors for recreation. Since its inclusion in Allegan County Health Department’s inland lake beach monitoring program in 2023, swim advisories have been issued for Dumont Lake each year due to high E. coli levels from previously unidentified sources. In the summers of 2025 and 2026, an MST protocol was utilized alongside ongoing E. coli counts in order to identify origins of fecal contamination at this site. We have implemented a multiplex primer/probe approach, for the majority of the targets, designed by GT Molecular (GT-Digital™ Microbial Source Tracking Human;E.coli;Cow;Gull;Dog Panel v1.0). As well as, a singleplex Canadian goose target (GT-DigitalTM Microbial Source Tracking Goose CGOF1 Assay Kit v1.0 for the QIAGEN® QIAcuity® Digital PCR System ALPHA). Produced for use with the QIAGEN QIAcuity digital PCR system, the GT kit targets 16S ribosomal DNA sequences from host animal specific bacterial strains from HF183 human Bacteroides, Gull4 Catellicoccus marimallium, BacCan dog Bacteroides, CowM2 bovine Bacteroides, CGOF1 Canadian goose Bacteroides, and a non-specific E. coli general fecal marker. In these studies, low probe target levels were found in the majority of Dumont Lake samples. However, given that the sampling events we examined displayed correspondingly low detectable E. coli counts, this was not surprising. Almost all of the samples tested had the dog (BacCan) target. These samples were found to have a concentration of between 32 and 3,500 gene copies/100mL of water. About half of the samples were found to have hits of the human (HF183 target), with concentrations ranging from 31 to 700 gene copies/100mL of water. And one sample, taken from an unnamed stream inlet, had a very large number of Canadian goose (CGOF1) hits at a concentration of around 6,100 gene copies/100mL of water. To give context for the dPCR results from Dumont Lake, we tested archived watershed samples from Allegan and Ottawa counties that were known to carry high E. coli counts. These samples showed high dPCR MST levels (mostly dog and human in origin). These results suggest that the GT MST primer/probe set in combination with the QIAcuity dPCR instrument provides a cost- and time-efficient MST workflow and that the primary source of fecal contamination in Dumont Lake is associated with dogs.
|
Lauren Cribbs, Hope College |
| 14 |
ddPCR system performance analysis comparison: Bio-Rad QX700 vs. QX600
Evaluation of new technologies against existing trusted methods is necessary prior to their widespread adoption to have confidence that equivalent results can be achieved across platforms. We compared Bio-Rad’s new QX700 droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) with Bio-Rad’s QX600 ddPCR system to determine if results from the QX700 were comparable to the QX600. This comparison is of particular interest due to the QX700 ddPCR system being an all-in-one chip-based system that does not require separate instrumentiation for droplet generation, thermocycling, and reading. This compact design could allow for ddPCR adoption in laboratories that have space and budget limitations while requiring flexibility in testing and capacity. The two systems were compared using a standardized reference plasmid prepared by the National institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) for fecal indicator detection and identification. For this initial comparison five sets of paired assays were performed. Two frequently used DNA targets (i.e., E. coli EC23S and the human microbial source tracking marker HF183) were chosen for analysis due to the relevance to Michigan beach testing. Each target was tested in a simplex reaction in either the FAM or HEX channels of each instrument. The NIST plasmid was prepared at five concentrations ranging from 1.0 x 104 gene copies/ µL to 1.0 x 100 gene copies/ µL. Each sample was run with four technical replicates (wells) on the QX700 and three replicates on the QX600 system due to the differences in total reaction volume for each system (QX700 - 5 µL, QX600 - 20 µL). This difference in the number of technical replicates allowed for an equivalent total amount of DNA template (15 µL) to be analyzed on both systems. Preliminary results show good comparability between the systems. There is a noticeable difference in the two systems FAM and HEX fluorescent channels. The QX700 FAM channel has worse droplet separation than QX600 FAM channel due to the FAM channel in the QX700 being used as the reference channel for gene expression experiments while the same role is filled by the HEX channel in the QX600. The QX700 possesses several qualities that make it a desirable alternative to the QX600 system. The smaller reaction and template volumes is beneficial if you have limited nucleic acid to work with from a sample. The all-in-one automated system and ability to load multiple plates at a time into QX700 lends itself to less hands-on time after the cartridges are loaded into the instrument. Additionally, the lack of PFAS in the droplet oil removes the need for specialized waste disposal of used reagents. However, the QX700 does require more difficult pipetting techniques for successful droplet generation than the QX600 when the QX600 ddPCR system is paired with an automated droplet generator (ADG). |
Matthew Flood, Michigan State University |
|
15
|
Determining the Impact of Holding Times on Microbial Source Tracking Results
The standard method for beach water samples that are to be run on MST indicates that samples should be filtered within 6 hours of collection (EPA 821-R-19-002). We hypothesize that increasing the time between sample collection and filtration will lead to more DNA degradation, and a measurable decline in gene copy numbers for each MST marker. We will homogenize and divide beach water samples to create subsamples of the same concentration. We will then reproduce the scenario of samples being held for each respective amount of time by filtering each subsample at 8 hours, 36 hours, and 72 hours after collection. Then, we can extract and test each filter on common source tracking targets (such as HF183 and gull4) to determine the relative levels of DNA in each . By comparing the results from different filtration times, we can get an idea of how soon after collection degradation begins . By conducting this experiment, we hope to create a more efficient workflow. If longer hold times show comparable positive results to shorter hold times, we could potentially keep samples for an extended amount of time before filtering. This would decrease the pressure for quick sample processing by increasing the window for filtration after sample collection.
|
Donovan Flickinger, Great Lakes Environmental Center |
| 16 |
Evaluation of Bactiquick Sensitivity to Multiple Bacterial Species and potential interfering chemicals
Background: Endotoxins are lipopolysaccharide components of the outer membrane of gram-negative bacteria that can be released into aquatic environments. Rapid and reliable detection of endotoxin can provide valuable information for assessing microbial contamination and water quality in recreational waters. Bactiquick is a rapid endotoxin detection platform recently introduced for water monitoring, based on the well-known Limulus amebocyte lysate (LAL)-based endotoxin assay method. This study evaluated the analytical specificity and breadth of endotoxin detection. Methods: Bactiquick performance was evaluated using three experimental approaches. First, the ability of Bactiquick to detect endotoxin from gram-negative bacterial species was evaluated using various dilutions of cultures of Escherichia coli, Escherichia marmotae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Klebsiella pneumoniae. Second, potential cross reactivity or interference by various chemicals was tested, including β-glucans (a known source of interference in some LAL-based assays), β-glucan blockers (Glucashield and Pierce β-glucan blockers), NaCl, and several buffers (Tris, HEPES). Solutions were tested at various concentrations in two ways: 1) directly added to the LAL assay tube or 2) used in place of the dilution solution of the Bactiquick assay and compared to the standard assay, for both environmental samples and standardized E. coli cultures. Third, Bactiquick was compared with a commercially available lab-based LAL endotoxin assay (Qubit Endotoxin Detection Assay Kit) designed for the Qubit Flex platform. Environmental and endotoxin calibration assay reactions were incubated at 37 oC on a dry block, stopped with acetic acid, and fluorescence was read on the Qubit Flex. Results: Bactiquick successfully detected endotoxin associated with E. coli, E. marmotae, P. aeruginosa, and K. pneumoniae, demonstrating broad endotoxin detection across distinct bacterial sources. Freeze-dried E. coli cultures yield positive responses even several weeks after storage at 4oC.No detectable Bactiquick response was observed with β-glucan across the tested dilutions, indicating no β-glucan cross reactivity under the experimental conditions, nor did the addition of the Pierce beta glucan blocker significantly change the response to a Bactiquick-positive result; however, Glucashield reduced Bactiquick responses by half. In tests to determine the inhibitor in Glucashield, we found that NaCl did not interfere with the assay but Tris (the buffer in Glucashield) and HEPES at a range of concentrations and pH values inhibited the assay. Compared to the Qubit Flex LAL-based endotoxin assay, Bactiquick produced more consistent and reliable results. Despite its higher cost per assay, the Bactiquick workflow was more rapid and straightforward to perform and, as shown elsewhere (Thurston et al poster), portable and robust to use. Conclusion: Bactiquick demonstrated analytical specificity for endotoxin, successfully detecting four species of gram-negative bacterial species, with no detectable interference from or sensitivity to β-glucans; however, addition of some chemicals, such as Tris and HEPES, can interfere with the assay. Its broad detection capability, rapid and simple workflow, and favorable performance relative to an alternative LAL-based assay support its potential utility as a practical tool for rapid endotoxin monitoring in recreational beach water.
|
Sneha Ghosh, Wayne State University
|
| 17 |
From Funding to Impact: How Cross-Sector Partnerships Power Cleaner Beaches
Plastic pollution remains a persistent and highly visible challenge on beaches and shorelines across the Great Lakes, requiring scalable, collaborative solutions that bridge technology, community engagement, and sustainable funding. The Great Lakes Plastic Cleanup (GLPC) offers a first-of-its-kind, binational model that combines innovative litter capture technologies with robust data collection and cross-sector partnerships to address litter in the Great Lakes Region at its source. This session will highlight how corporate partnerships have played a critical role in advancing on-the-ground impact, featuring perspectives from the Council of the Great Lakes Region (CGLR) as the project administrator, Meijer as a lead corporate funding partner, and Grand Valley State University’s Annis Water Resources Institute (GVSU) as a key implementation partner. Together, presenters will share how this partnership model enables deployment of technologies such as beach-cleaning Bebots and water-skimming Pixie Drones, supports consistent data collection and waste characterization, and expands reach and drives deeper community engagement. Attendees will gain insight into how corporate investment not only accelerates environmental outcomes, but also strengthens local capacity, supports education and outreach, and builds long-term project sustainability. The session will include real-world examples from beach sites in Michigan and the greater Great Lakes region, demonstrating how coordinated efforts between funders, nonprofit conveners, and local operators can scale impact while maintaining data integrity and community relevance. By showcasing lessons learned from GLPC’s multi-year implementation, this presentation will provide a replicable framework for leveraging corporate partnerships to advance litter mitigation strategies, enhance public engagement, and deliver measurable improvements to the health of the Great Lakes.
|
Jamie Cross, GVSU Annis Water Institute |
| 18 |
Implementing the Great Lakes Microbial Water Quality Assessment
The International Joint Commission (IJC) is responsible for regular reporting on the status of the Great Lakes and other boundary waters and for investigating the risk to ecosystems and human health that may result from current or future stressors. In 1913, the IJC conducted a detailed microbial water quality study (over 19,000 samples) of the fecal-related pollution of the boundary waters of the Great Lakes, and the potential link between disease and sewage pollution (IJC 1918). Today, over 100 years later, despite the advances in drinking water treatment technology and source water control measures, microbial water quality concerns remain and range from beach closures, waterborne pathogen outbreaks in recreational waters, harmful algal blooms, impairment of water for domestic use, boil water advisories, taste and odor issues and the spread of antimicrobial resistance. New challenges, emerging contaminants and climate change are also threatening the Great Lakes water quality and health. A recent IJC Health Professionals Advisory Board (HPAB) study concluded that advanced molecular and genomic tools (e.g. PCR techniques and metagenomics) are sufficiently developed and are available for improving water quality assessment throughout the Great Lakes. However, a concerted effort is needed to build out a system of monitoring, data management, data interpretation, and sharing of data and analyses, to comprehensively define source water quality, degradation, impacts and restoration goals for a sustainable future. The HPAB’s Great Lakes Microbial Water Quality Assessment (GL-MWQA) study is building out plans to implement molecular methods in long-term water quality monitoring programs in the Great Lakes. The GL-MWQA study is focused on planning a large-scale basin-wide study to develop monitoring strategies identified by the IJC’s Large Basin Microbial Water Quality Study project. These molecular and genomics tools can be used to modernize and strategically plan for advancing microbial water quality assessment in three areas: 1) microbial source tracking (MST); 2) harmful algal blooms (HABs); and 3) ecosystem/human health assessment (metagenomics/pathogen detection). Study outcomes include: 1) Establishing a Great Lakes Community of Practice (CoP) for harmonizing the use of molecular tools and selecting appropriate microbial targets for study in microbiology labs across the basin; 2) Developing an inter-Lab Round-Robin plan to validate molecular methods for use binationally across the Great Lakes for MST (potentially including pathogens of interest), HABs detection, and metagenomics characterization of water samples; 3) Developing a pilot study plan that engages stakeholders and includes coordination of field work and lab analyses and mapping of microbial water quality and health risks, and addresses data management; and, 4) Developing a plan for eventual multi-year rollout of the GL-MWQA across the basin. The IJC HPAB bi-national project team has been advancing the GL-MWQA study design for the last two years, working with technical experts and a contractor team. The poster will present the historical context for the GL-MWQA, and summarize the accomplishments of the study planning effort, including the development of a CoP, the laboratory round robin study design, and the pilot study components.
|
Carrie Turner, LimnoTech |
|
29
|
Investigating the Impacts of Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) on Lake Superior Tourism
The presence of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in Lake Superior has become more common since they were first detected in 2012. This study aims to understand how the presence of algal blooms, both harmful and not, are impacting tourism and outdoor recreation in the region. This study is specifically focused on answering four research questions: (1) How are Lake Superior coastal counties thinking about HABs from a tourism/outdoor recreation perspective? (2) How are HABs impacting Lake Superior tourism? (3) How are county/tourism staff communicating about algal blooms with beach/waterway users? (4) What additional resources are needed to help tourism & beach managers communicate about HABs? Currently, there is little research focused on understanding how algal blooms are impacting Lake Superior tourism and outdoor recreation given that they are a relatively new phenomenon. Most existing research is focused on monitoring the occurrence of algal blooms and trying to identify why they are occurring. This poster presentation will share findings from a series of semi-structured interviews with public health and tourism professionals who work in Lake Superior coastal areas. Interviews are currently ongoing as of April 2026 with a goal for completion in the summer of 2026, so details are limited at this point. Preliminary findings from the interviews will be shared in this poster at the National Beach Summit.
|
Natalie Chin, Wisconsin Sea Grant |
| 20 |
Michigan microplastics policy to protect the Great Lakes and Human Health
Microplastics are increasingly detected in human tissues, including placenta and breast milk, raising significant concerns about exposure pathways and impacts on children and families. Michigan, home to the Great Lakes, the world’s largest source of surface freshwater, relies on this ecosystem as a primary source of drinking water, making the state an important focal point for microplastics research and prevention. A package of proposed legislation in Michigan addresses microplastics through two strategies: (1) Prevention, by expanding the federal ban on microbeads to further reduce preventable sources of pollution, and (2) Research, by directing systematic studies on the prevalence of microplastics in drinking water systems and the Great Lakes. This approach links immediate protective measures with evidence generation to inform future policy. The public health emphasis is clear: reducing inputs of microplastics into freshwater ecosystems while assessing existing contamination provides a foundation for protecting vulnerable populations, particularly children. By integrating prevention with research, Michigan’s legislative model demonstrates how state-level policy can complement federal action, generate critical data, and translate emerging science into population-level protections.
|
Samantha Pickering, Michigan Environmental Council |
|
21
|
Micro- and Nanoplastics in the Water Cycle: Impacts on Beaches and Health
Since the mid-20th century, global plastic production has surpassed 9 billion metric tons cumulatively, with annual output now exceeding 400 million tons. Approximately 9% has been recycled; the remainder accumulates in the environment, fragmenting continuously into micro- and nanoplastics (MNPs) — particles smaller than 5 millimeters and 1 micrometer, respectively. Once at this scale, MNPs integrate into the hydrological cycle, moving through ocean waters, river systems, atmospheric moisture, precipitation, and cloud formation. This presentation examines how four intrinsic properties of MNPs — persistence, size, chemical composition, and electrostatic charge — govern their behavior and distribution across aquatic and atmospheric systems, and proposes targeted strategies to address their growing influence on the water cycle and climate, with systematic relevance to the Great Lakes basin.
|
Taliy Shkurupiy, ALLATRA |
| 21 |
Testing the Waters Faster: A Comprehensive Evaluation of Bactiquick for Beach Monitoring
Beach monitoring for biological risk is critical for protecting public health and ensuring resident safety during the summer months. Historically, the Milwaukee Health Department Laboratory (MHDL) relied on culture based Escherichia coli methods to generate results and guide beach action decisions. Although accurate in quantifying viable E. coli, these methods delayed our ability to respond to the current beach conditions by a full day – often leading to recreation in hazardous conditions. In recent years, MHDL has transitioned to molecular methods, specifically qPCR and dPCR, in conjunction with EPA standards for same day reporting of beach samplings. This shift has allowed us to make decisions based on the condition of the beach on the day of testing. Beginning in the summer of 2026, MHDL will further advance its testing approach by implementing a validated digital PCR method for beach monitoring. This change will enable not only sensitive detection of E. coli for determining beach action values, but also microbial source tracking to better identify trends in common sources of fecal contamination and to support the potential development of an action plan using these targets. While enhanced molecular testing will improve contamination source tracking, alternative technologies may further reduce beach action response times. One promising tool is the new Bactiquick real time water testing device, which provides rapid, in field analysis of water samples. Producing results in 15 minutes, the device quantifies an approximate concentration of Gram-negative bacteria through endotoxin signal. Although Bactiquick is not currently an EPA-approved replacement for culture or molecular testing for E. coli due to its inability to differentiate E. coli endotoxin signal, it shows strong potential as a rapid preliminary screening tool or as a quick retesting method to support timely beach reopenings. Due to the potential for off-target high values, we anticipate its primary utility for MHDL will be rapid reopening of closed beaches. Throughout the summer of 2026, MHDL will conduct a comprehensive comparison of traditional culture-based and molecular methods against Bactiquick field results to evaluate its suitability for future beach seasons. Our poster will comprise of a statistical analysis of endotoxin risk units (the output of Bactiquick) and MPN/ 100 mL values generated by both Colilert-18 and our dPCR conversion calculation.
|
Julia Zimmer, City of Milwaukee Health Department |
| 23 |
Trash Removal Technologies Education and Research Program for the Great Lakes
Started in 2022, with funding support from Meijer Incorporated and The Council of the Great Lakes Region, Ohio Sea Grant received two trash removal devices. One focused on removing trash from beaches and the other targeted to skim the water’s surface to remove trash. With the equipment being newer technology, project partners developed data collection methods, best management practices for equipment operations, transport, and maintenance as well as developed education and outreach initiatives for the highly visible equipment. In this presentation we will discuss the effectiveness and feasibility of using remote-controlled robotics technology to remove trash from beaches and waterways. To better support Ohio Sea Grant’s efforts in this project, the Beach and On-water Trash Trapping Tech Team for Lake Erie (BOTtttle) was developed. A partnership between Ohio Sea Grant and Cuyahoga Community College’s Youth Technology Academy (YTA), the program, supported with funding from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate-Ready Coasts Program, Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, works with underserved and underrepresented high school students in the Cleveland area to offer educational programming and workforce development opportunities in the STEM disciplines. We are working together to engage Cleveland youth in Lake Erie stewardship activities, introduce them to the water quality issue of marine debris in their local community, and utilize their expertise with robotics to effectively operate and manage trash removal technologies. Students receive relevant job training and field experience in the rapidly growing blue/water economy and marine debris removal technologies sector. In addition to robotics care, operation, and maintenance, students support waste characterization efforts to learn more about data collection, monitoring, and management protocols. Interactive programming engages youth with their coastal environment empowering them to care for their coastal areas and drinking water sources.
|
Jill Bartolotta, Ohio Sea Grant and The Ohio State University |
| 24 |
Use Case for BactiQuick: Detection of Agricultural Impacts on Watershed Water Quality
Background: Agricultural livestock operations can contribute to microbial contamination in surface waters that ultimately affect downstream recreational beaches. Rapid detection methods have the potential to provide earlier indications of poor water quality than conventional laboratory approaches, supporting more timely public health decisions. Building upon ongoing beach monitoring efforts in Wayne County, Michigan, this project evaluates microbial water quality in tributaries located upstream and downstream of agricultural livestock operations within watersheds that discharge into recreational waters.
Objectives: Determine whether rapid endotoxin screening can detect microbial contamination gradients associated with agricultural land use and prioritize locations for subsequent microbial source tracking and sequencing analyses.
Methods: During Summer 2026, water samples were collected upstream and downstream from multiple agricultural sites in the Rouge River Watershed. Three sites within the Huron Watershed were also sampled for comparison. Water samples were analyzed using BactiQuick as a rapid screening tool for bacterial endotoxin contamination. To analyze samples in the linear range of BactiQuick measurements (ERU = 0 – 120; see poster by Thurston et al.), samples were tested at one-fifth full strength. Samples were also enumerated for Escherichia coli using Colilert and Petrifilm methods.
Results/Conclusions: There is substantial spatial variability in microbial contamination. Two downstream locations exhibited higher bacterial indicators than paired upstream sites. BactiQuick measurements generally reflect patterns observed with lab-based methods, suggesting its potential utility as a rapid screening approach for identifying contamination hotspots.
Future Direction: Future work will incorporate microbial source tracking and next-generation sequencing to identify contamination sources, characterize bacterial communities, and evaluate antimicrobial resistance markers. These efforts will provide a more comprehensive understanding of agricultural influences on watershed health and support risk-based decision making for recreational water management.
|
Paula Dinh, Wayne State University |
| 25 |
Wastewater Persistence and Partitioning of Mycobacterium tuberculosis, Neisseria meningitidis, and Bordetella pertussis
Globally, cases of bacterial respiratory pathogens caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, Bordetella pertussis, and Neisseria meningitidis have surged since the COVID-19 pandemic. Wastewater monitoring has emerged as a powerful tool to track trends and identify hotspots of infectious diseases, yet has rarely been applied to bacterial respiratory pathogens, and we have limited understanding of how these bacterial pathogens partition between solid and liquids phases or persist in wastewater. In this study, we investigated the persistence and partitioning of M. tuberculosis, N. meningitidis, and B. pertussis in wastewater sludge across 5 days at multiple temperatures: 4°C, 22°C, and 35°C. The three bacteria were cultured for 18h to 3 weeks until reaching log-phase growth, then harvested and combined into a live bacterial cocktail targeting 10^4 gc/µL for each organism. Bacterial growth and concentrations were estimated by optical density measurements and ddPCR, respectively. We also designed a novel assay for B. pertussis detection and report the performance of the assays for all three organisms in multiplex. Actinobacillus pleuropneumoniae was cultured in lab as a bacterial process control. Bacterial cocktail was spiked into thirty-six 50 mL tubes each containing 12 mL sludge, with same numbers of tubes incubated at 4, 22, and 35°C, including six spiked samples and six non-spiked controls. From days 0-5, one spiked and one control sample were processed daily for each temperature. Frist, for all three assays targeting M. tuberculosis, N. meningitidis, and B. pertussis, in vivo testing revealed no cross-reactivity among twelve clinically relevant bacterial targets. Second, all three bacteria were predominantly detected in the solids phase, with limited detections in liquids. Across all 6 days, we detected M. tuberculosis in 18/18 solids and 10/18 liquids samples, B. pertussis in 18/18 solids and 4/18 liquids samples, and N. meningitidis in 11/18 solids and 1/18 liquids samples. The frequency of liquids detection across all organisms did not vary by temperature (Kruskal-Wallis test, n=54, p = 0.34). Third, persistence varied by temperature and the greatest reductions occurred during storage at 4°C. The time until a one-log reduction in concentration, T90, at 4°C ranged from 3.3 days for N. meningitidis and 8.5 days for M. tuberculosis to 34 days for B. pertussis. No significant decay was observed at 35°C for all three organisms. Additionally, the raw sludge sample used for the experiment was negative for M. tuberculosis and N. meningitidis but did contain B. pertussis at a concentration of 7,500 gc/dry g (67% confidence interval: 5,000 - 11,000 gc/dry g), indicating the presence of its DNA in raw samples. Our results suggest that future studies measuring these pathogens in wastewater process centrifuged solids from wastewater sludge for higher detectability, and that samples stored at 4°C be processed as quickly as possible to prevent bacterial degradation. This work fills a vital gap in the literature around bacterial pathogen behavior in wastewater at a time when wastewater monitoring is expanding from virus monitoring to bacterial pathogens, and will enable federal, state, and private laboratories to select appropriate methodologies for bacterial wastewater monitoring.
|
Liang Zhao, Oakland University |
| 26 |
Watershed Rehabilitation Alters Environmental Controls of E. coli at a Recreational Beach
Environmental variables are widely used to predict microbial water quality, but major watershed alterations may change which variables are most useful predictors over time. Long-term E. coli density monitoring data from Maumee Bay State Park Beach (Oregon, Ohio; 2008–2022) were evaluated to determine the extent to which local watershed rehabilitation (renovation of an adjacent drainage ditch/wetland complex) influenced the ability of multiple environmental variables to predict recreational water quality. Environmental predictors evaluated included meteorological, hydrologic, lake, river, and water quality variables. Breakpoint analysis assessed whether temporal shifts in the relationship between turbidity and E. coli coincided with the construction of Berger ditch. Cross-validated LASSO regression with year-block bootstrapping identified predictors that were consistently selected with nonzero coefficients across bootstrap models while accounting for interannual variability. Mixed-effects models evaluated the strength and direction of the relationships. Breakpoint analysis identified the period between 2015 and 2016 as the most likely breakpoint, coinciding with the construction of Berger ditch rehabilitation. Mean E. coli increased from approximately 200 to 320 CFU/100 mL after rehabilitation, and exceedance frequency increased from 19.8% to 37.2% despite a substantial decline in turbidity and E. coli discharged from Berger ditch. Prior to rehabilitation, turbidity was among the strongest and most consistent predictors of E. coli density, being selected in 95% of all year-block bootstrap models, while following rehabilitation, the predictive potential of turbidity weakened significantly and only appeared in 4.6% of models. Conversely, rainfall, lake level, Maumee River discharge, total Kjeldahl nitrogen, and antecedent total phosphorus were selected more frequently as predictors following rehabilitation, suggesting a shift from sediment-associated controls toward controls driven by hydrologic, riverine, and nearshore processes. Monte Carlo simulations based on post-rehabilitation relationships combining 2°C in observed water temperatures with more frequent heavy rain fall and extreme river flows could increase predicted mean E. coli densities by 10–15%. Overall, data analysis suggested that watershed rehabilitation altered environmental processes that control E. coli densities in recreational waters, most notably turbidity, which lost predictive power. The findings highlight the need to reassess beach-water-quality relationships following major changes to watershed hydrology and sediment transport.
|
Garrett Moots, University of Toledo |